| Change log entry 72148 | |
|---|---|
| Processed by: | richwarm (2021-04-08 04:58:30 GMT) |
| Comment: |
<< review queue entry 67787 - submitted by 'polaris' >> 1、黑天鹅效应（英语：Black swan theory或theory of black swan events）是指极不可能发生，实际上却又发生的事件。 在18世纪欧洲人发现澳洲之前，由于他们所见过的天鹅都是白色的，所以在当时欧洲人眼中，天鹅只有白色的品种。直到欧洲人发现了澳洲，看到当地的黑天鹅后，人们认识天鹅的视野才打开，只需一个黑天鹅的观察结果就能使从无数次对白天鹅的观察中归纳推理出的一般结论失效，引起了人们对认知的反思－以往认为对的不等于以后总是对的。 From 黑天鹅效应-维基百科 https://is.gd/3aHIJ8 2、 疫情下做好“黑天鹅”与“灰犀牛”的应急风险管理 From KPMG https://home.kpmg/cn/zh/home/insights/2020/02/ensuring-business-continuity-management-capabilities-04.html ------------------------------------ Editor: 黑天鹅 is literally "black (黑) swan (天鹅)" and it appears to mean any of the three things it means in English: 1. Cygnus atratus, an Australian swan whose feathers are black. 2. (figuratively) Something believed impossible or not to exist, of which an example is subsequently found. 3. (figuratively, also attributive) A rare and hard-to-predict event with major consequences. https://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/black_swan So I don't see the need to have an entry to explain what 黑天鹅 means. Also, I didn't see evidence that 黑天鹅 is an abbreviation for 黑天鵝效應. |
| Diff: |
# 黑天鵝 黑天鹅 [hei1 tian1 e2] /Black swan theory, abbr. for 黑天鹅效应|黑天鵝效應[hei1 tian1 e2 xiao4 ying4]/ |